Pattern Is Full But Market Remains Over Support


We saw the market open higher today thus giving us a potentially full pattern down to the most micro of levels. The afternoon session saw the market move down on what can be counted as a micro five wave move however we are still sitting over even the upper support zone. So with that, while we do have a potentially full pattern in place we still have a bit more work to do to give us initial confirmation that we have indeed put in a top. 

While I can make the case for five down off of the highs the move is still very micro and not the most reliable at this timeframe. So I will still would want to see a larger five-wave move followed by a break of support to give us initial confirmation of a top.  

I have moved the upper support up to the 5406-5365 zone and I would view a move under that zone as an early signal of a local top. From there I would still want to see a break under the 5340 level followed by a break under the 5233 level to further confirm a top in all of the wave b.  

So while the pattern remains full we still need the market to give us a bit more downside action to give us that initial confirmation that we have indeed topped. Until that occurs another push towards the 5512-5553 can not be fully ruled out.

SPX 5min
SPX 5min
SPX 60min
SPX 60min
Michael Golembesky is a senior analyst at ElliottWaveTrader covering US Indices, the US Dollar, and the VIX. He contributes frequently to Avi's Market Alerts service at EWT while also hosting his own VIX Trading service.


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